(A) Carlisle - 6th
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd
(H) Cambridge - 20th
(H) Yeovil -22nd
(A) Colchester - 4th
(A) Grimsby - 15th
(H) Port Vale - 19th
whats everyones forecast ?
I would hope for 4 wins and a draw
Next 7 Games
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10-11 points and I would be very happy as will mean we are still moving upwards. One thing is for sure, we are unpredictable so I would be surprised if we did a full house of home wins against the teams also struggling!!
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(A) Carlisle - 6th - LOSS
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd - WIN
(H) Cambridge - 20th - WIN
(H) Yeovil -22nd - WIN
(A) Colchester - 4th - LOSS
(A) Grimsby - 15th - DRAW
(H) Port Vale - 19th - WIN
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd - WIN
(H) Cambridge - 20th - WIN
(H) Yeovil -22nd - WIN
(A) Colchester - 4th - LOSS
(A) Grimsby - 15th - DRAW
(H) Port Vale - 19th - WIN
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I don't think so. We won't need much more than a point a game from here to stay up. So whilst the returns mentioned i would hope for i dont think it would be the end of the world if we just get 8 for example as i dont think those around us are suddenly going to get 14 and really close the gap.Artemis wrote:If thats not the case, then we are probably in deep trouble.
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The four home games have to be won. Failure in any of those and we deserve to go down.
Ergo 12 points minimum required in my view. Any away points a bonus.
Ergo 12 points minimum required in my view. Any away points a bonus.
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The usual rationality I'd expect to see from the Nest.
It's rare we win four on the spin at home so not sure we have to do that! Equally the sides around us are also playing each other so we could arguably play about four or five more games and not pick up a point and still not be bottom
Note. I am not saying I want or expect this. But I am saying that as long as we pick them up I don't care where we get them from. I'd say 11-12 is realistic. Expecting to win all four at home is often what causes tension and frustration at home (and why we have been known to perform better against higher teams)
It's rare we win four on the spin at home so not sure we have to do that! Equally the sides around us are also playing each other so we could arguably play about four or five more games and not pick up a point and still not be bottom
Note. I am not saying I want or expect this. But I am saying that as long as we pick them up I don't care where we get them from. I'd say 11-12 is realistic. Expecting to win all four at home is often what causes tension and frustration at home (and why we have been known to perform better against higher teams)
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We will be fine...
A) Carlisle - 6th - Draw 1-1 (1 point)
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd - WIN 2-0 (3 points)
(H) Cambridge - 20th - WIN 3-1 (3 points)
(H) Yeovil -22nd - WIN (4-2) (3 points)
(A) Colchester - 4th - LOSS 2-1 (0 points)
(A) Grimsby - 15th - LOSS 2-1 (0 points)
(H) Port Vale - 19th - WIN 3-2 (Barnett hat-trick - 3 points)
Points total = 13
Total after Port Vale game = 42
which by my reckoning will leave us with 6 home games to gain about 5 points for safety.
A) Carlisle - 6th - Draw 1-1 (1 point)
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd - WIN 2-0 (3 points)
(H) Cambridge - 20th - WIN 3-1 (3 points)
(H) Yeovil -22nd - WIN (4-2) (3 points)
(A) Colchester - 4th - LOSS 2-1 (0 points)
(A) Grimsby - 15th - LOSS 2-1 (0 points)
(H) Port Vale - 19th - WIN 3-2 (Barnett hat-trick - 3 points)
Points total = 13
Total after Port Vale game = 42
which by my reckoning will leave us with 6 home games to gain about 5 points for safety.
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What’s winning four in a row got to do with it. Look at the individual home games: whether they are four a row or two months between each, are you saying you are happy to not beat a bottom five side at home?THECHOIRBOY wrote:The usual rationality I'd expect to see from the Nest.
It's rare we win four on the spin at home so not sure we have to do that! Equally the sides around us are also playing each other so we could arguably play about four or five more games and not pick up a point and still not be bottom
Note. I am not saying I want or expect this. But I am saying that as long as we pick them up I don't care where we get them from. I'd say 11-12 is realistic. Expecting to win all four at home is often what causes tension and frustration at home (and why we have been known to perform better against higher teams)
I criticised Gary for the home failures vs Barnet and FGR last season (amongst others) and I will equally disappointed not to win similar fixtures this season.
Unbelievable that you question the rationality of expecting to win home games against poor teams who are in the bottom four or five.
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Interesting speculation.
Recent results indicate Cheltenham look well on course to remain in Football League.
SkyBet has Cheltenham to finish season 20th with 43 points:
https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/leag ... /predicted" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
With regards the next seven matches Sky Bet has Cheltenham to secure 6 points from following predicted results:
Carlisle United 2 - 1 Cheltenham Town [0 pts]
Cheltenham Town 1 - 1 Macclesfield Town [1 pt]
Cheltenham Town 2 - 0 Cambridge United [3 pts]
Cheltenham Town 0 - 1 Yeovil Town [0 pts]
Colchester United 2 - 0 Cheltenham Town [0 pts]
Grimsby Town 1 - 1 Cheltenham Town [1 pt]
Cheltenham Town 0 - 0 Port Vale [1 pt]
I forecast 9 points with win v Yeovil.
Recent results indicate Cheltenham look well on course to remain in Football League.
SkyBet has Cheltenham to finish season 20th with 43 points:
https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/leag ... /predicted" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
With regards the next seven matches Sky Bet has Cheltenham to secure 6 points from following predicted results:
Carlisle United 2 - 1 Cheltenham Town [0 pts]
Cheltenham Town 1 - 1 Macclesfield Town [1 pt]
Cheltenham Town 2 - 0 Cambridge United [3 pts]
Cheltenham Town 0 - 1 Yeovil Town [0 pts]
Colchester United 2 - 0 Cheltenham Town [0 pts]
Grimsby Town 1 - 1 Cheltenham Town [1 pt]
Cheltenham Town 0 - 0 Port Vale [1 pt]
I forecast 9 points with win v Yeovil.
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good chance certainly Port Vale may have changed manager by then so may be experiencing a 'new manager bounce' by our game.
I'll put us down for a point this weekend as I'm making the long trip on Friday and spending the rest of a long weekend in the Lakes. I reckon 1-1. As for the rest, bad feeling about Macc at home but think we will beat Cambridge, Yeovil and Notts. Draw at Grimsby, defeat and Colchester, victory against Vale to make up for the one we should have had at their gaff.
14 points. Maybe I'm being optimistic...
14 points. Maybe I'm being optimistic...
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I will stick to my view. I think it's unlikely we will win all four at home. I hope we will. I don't expect it.RegencyCheltenhamSpa wrote:What’s winning four in a row got to do with it. Look at the individual home games: whether they are four a row or two months between each, are you saying you are happy to not beat a bottom five side at home?THECHOIRBOY wrote:The usual rationality I'd expect to see from the Nest.
It's rare we win four on the spin at home so not sure we have to do that! Equally the sides around us are also playing each other so we could arguably play about four or five more games and not pick up a point and still not be bottom
Note. I am not saying I want or expect this. But I am saying that as long as we pick them up I don't care where we get them from. I'd say 11-12 is realistic. Expecting to win all four at home is often what causes tension and frustration at home (and why we have been known to perform better against higher teams)
I criticised Gary for the home failures vs Barnet and FGR last season (amongst others) and I will equally disappointed not to win similar fixtures this season.
Unbelievable that you question the rationality of expecting to win home games against poor teams who are in the bottom four or five.
Why do i not expect it? Because history and data shows us winning four league games in a row at home is something we do not do often. We know you love data RCS! In fact the last time we did it was the last 5 games of the promotion winning season in Conference in 15/16 when we won 5 on the spin. The last time we did it in League 2 from my quick research appears to be March 2013.
Nearly 6 years ago. So based on that evidence my expectation would not be for us to win all 4 no; whoever it may be against!! So yes, I guess i am questioning rationality if we look at the information that could make a logical decision.
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Don't think League 2 is as predictable as some think. Very unlikely to win all 4 home games. Macclesfield on a reasonable run under their new manager for example so will be hard to beat. Would be nice to get more but realistically I think it will be a mixed bag and grinding out points.
(A) Carlisle - 6th - Loss (0 points)
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd - Loss (0 points)
(H) Cambridge - 20th - Draw (1 point)
(H) Yeovil -22nd - Win (3 points)
(A) Colchester - 4th - Loss (0 points)
(A) Grimsby - 15th - Draw (1 point)
(H) Port Vale - 19th - Draw (1 point)
Total - 6 points.
(A) Carlisle - 6th - Loss (0 points)
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd - Loss (0 points)
(H) Cambridge - 20th - Draw (1 point)
(H) Yeovil -22nd - Win (3 points)
(A) Colchester - 4th - Loss (0 points)
(A) Grimsby - 15th - Draw (1 point)
(H) Port Vale - 19th - Draw (1 point)
Total - 6 points.
He says, before making his own predictions.FOD_Wyman_2010 wrote:Don't think League 2 is as predictable as some think.
It's so unpredictable, we could win all 6 or lose all 6. That's why we all have such different "predictions".
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What's wrong with you lot?
Grimsby is always a nailed on three points. We have the Indian sign on them.
Grimsby is always a nailed on three points. We have the Indian sign on them.
Well we lost at home and drew away to Grimsby last season.Jerry St Clair wrote:What's wrong with you lot?
Grimsby is always a nailed on three points. We have the Indian sign on them.
I would not be surprised at all if we lost to a rapidly improving Macclesfield.
I`m worried that we might not win any of the next 3 games and the knives will be out ?Nesty wrote:(A) Carlisle - 6th
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd
(H) Cambridge - 20th
(H) Yeovil -22nd
(A) Colchester - 4th
(A) Grimsby - 15th
(H) Port Vale - 19th
whats everyones forecast ?
I would hope for 4 wins and a draw
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Definitely entering “not renewing season ticket territory” if we don’t beat either Macc or Cambridge at home.everyman wrote:I`m worried that we might not win any of the next 3 games and the knives will be out ?Nesty wrote:(A) Carlisle - 6th
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd
(H) Cambridge - 20th
(H) Yeovil -22nd
(A) Colchester - 4th
(A) Grimsby - 15th
(H) Port Vale - 19th
whats everyones forecast ?
I would hope for 4 wins and a draw
2.5 weeks ago I'd have been confident of winning all of Macc, Cambridge, Yeovil, Port Vale and maybe Grimsby too, although they were on a high scoring run themselves then. The loss of Nige is huge, as is 2 of our own centre backs. We've lost 3 on the bounce in all comps since Nige.
When you analyse our results, only 7 points have been taken from teams currently in the top half of table (16 matches). Conversely, 22 points have been taken from teams in the bottom half (12 matches). To date, despite the blips against Crawley, we have been winning the more important games against teams around us near the foot of the table.
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We simply must beat least Yeovil.
After today’s shambles (worst result since Altrincham debacle?) if we have a double failure against Yeovil and Cambridge then even Morecambe will be confident of surviving ahead of us.
After today’s shambles (worst result since Altrincham debacle?) if we have a double failure against Yeovil and Cambridge then even Morecambe will be confident of surviving ahead of us.
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Yes!
RCS 1-0 Fate.
I tempted Fate with my above post and fate took the bait.
Great comeback by Duffo’s boys.
RCS 1-0 Fate.
I tempted Fate with my above post and fate took the bait.
Great comeback by Duffo’s boys.
It's still much too early to make such bold statements, but obviously winning six-pointers helps reduce the risk of relegation significantly. To date, we have yet to lose any of the 7 games played against the six teams below us, winning 4 and drawing 3. That's 15 points from 7 games; or 18 from 8 if you include Northampton, who are one place above us.
Moreover, 5 of the remaining 6 fixtures against the clubs mentioned above will be at home.
Moreover, 5 of the remaining 6 fixtures against the clubs mentioned above will be at home.
To be honest we've not looked anything like a relegation side since about October, whilst you cannot say for sure we won't go down it just feels extremely unlikely. Normally sides who go down don't have a solid base or are dogged by off the field troubles we appear fairly calm/stable just lacking a bit of quality in midfield.