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 Post subject: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 03 Nov 2018, 23:37 
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Tempting.

7/4 to go down.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 02:23 
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I will give you 325/1...for a top half finish.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 08:38 
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Malabus wrote:
I will give you 325/1...for a top half finish.


You’re on. I will wager £3.08 at those odds please.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 10:47 
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I’m happy to witness this written contract

Malabus would you extend these generous odds to me as well?

Going back to the original post I stick with my early prediction 8-12th. Obviously losing Johnson has set the club back significantly but with his expert eye for a player as his legacy we can reap the rewards moving forward (and if we go down I can blame it on him being sacked).

See what I did there? That’s a robins nest classic, the double-I-have-to-proven-right


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 12:09 
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14/1 crazy odds. Would need at least 100/1 to entice me, and even then I probably wouldn't waste my money because we have no chance of top half.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 12:26 
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Johnsons Red Army wrote:
14/1 crazy odds. Would need at least 100/1 to entice me, and even then I probably wouldn't waste my money because we have no chance of top half.


- We are 12 points off the top half, with a game in hand on most.
- We have played a disproportionate number of games against teams in the top half.
- We play nearly all of the teams in the bottom half at home during the remainder of the season.

If the improvement from yesterday continues and Duff is allowed to strengthen sensibly in January then I think it’s a brave person who says we have ”no chance”.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 12:28 
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Hopefully you are correct. But time will tell if it turns out to be true or not.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 12:31 
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Indeed. I think it’s unlikely but not impossible.

As a comparison, Chelsea are currently between 11-1 and 14-1 with most bookies to win the Premier. Probably unlikely, but you’d be brave to totally write them off.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 13:40 
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RegencyCheltenhamSpa wrote:
Malabus wrote:
I will give you 325/1...for a top half finish.


You’re on. I will wager £3.08 at those odds please.
£50 minimum stake.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 14:20 
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What’s the maximum stake mal??


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 14:26 
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Malabus wrote:
RegencyCheltenhamSpa wrote:
Malabus wrote:
I will give you 325/1...for a top half finish.


You’re on. I will wager £3.08 at those odds please.
£50 minimum stake.


Cheeky rule change but I will call your bluff.

I can confirm a £50 bet at odds of 325/1.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 15:11 
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Mal can cover £16k, easy.


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 Post subject: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 16:07 
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RegencyCheltenhamSpa wrote:
I can confirm a £50 bet at odds of 325/1.


It will only be confirmed when I see the cash first.


Last edited by Malabus on 04 Nov 2018, 16:08, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 16:07 
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Ben3 wrote:
What’s the maximum stake mal??


Whatever your pocket money is.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 16:56 
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Jerry St Clair wrote:
Johnsons Red Army wrote:
14/1 crazy odds. Would need at least 100/1 to entice me, and even then I probably wouldn't waste my money because we have no chance of top half.


- We are 12 points off the top half, with a game in hand on most.
- We have played a disproportionate number of games against teams in the top half.
- We play nearly all of the teams in the bottom half at home during the remainder of the season.

If the improvement from yesterday continues and Duff is allowed to strengthen sensibly in January then I think it’s a brave person who says we have ”no chance”.


All well and good but we've yet to win in ten games under Duff and were recently tamely beaten by Stevenage and Oldham, both out of form and missing key players.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 18:00 
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My pocket money is also £50 so I’m happy to take you up on your generous offer. Now it’s all in black and white there is no way either of us can welch on the deal 8-)

If I don’t hear anymore lll remortgage in the morning and lay the bet (bet for us NOT to finish in the top half) with a high street bookmaker to the tune of £10k or so, knowing that due to mal’s generous odds I’ll win either way :lol:


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 20:48 
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Ben3 wrote:
My pocket money is also £50 so I’m happy to take you up on your generous offer. Now it’s all in black and white there is no way either of us can welch on the deal 8-)

If I don’t hear anymore lll remortgage in the morning and lay the bet (bet for us NOT to finish in the top half) with a high street bookmaker to the tune of £10k or so, knowing that due to mal’s generous odds I’ll win either way :lol:


Only problem is high street bookmakers don’t lay, the exchanges do...


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 04 Nov 2018, 21:55 
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ctfc-fan wrote:
Ben3 wrote:
My pocket money is also £50 so I’m happy to take you up on your generous offer. Now it’s all in black and white there is no way either of us can welch on the deal 8-)

If I don’t hear anymore lll remortgage in the morning and lay the bet (bet for us NOT to finish in the top half) with a high street bookmaker to the tune of £10k or so, knowing that due to mal’s generous odds I’ll win either way :lol:


Only problem is high street bookmakers don’t lay, the exchanges do...


He can just find a high street bookie offering odds on us to finish in the bottom half.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 25 Nov 2018, 00:06 
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SkyBet now have us 13/2 to finish top half.

Compared to 14/1 when the thread was commenced.

Relegation now 4/1 (cf. 7/4 in OP).

Betting markets aware we are in a false league position for the quality of our squad.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 25 Nov 2018, 00:22 
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Just looked at the relegation odds and you can get 12-1 on Cambridge that's excellent value. Bookies feel Macclesfield, then Grimsby then Morecambe are most likely to go all with shorter odds than ourselves and Notts County.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 26 Nov 2018, 14:48 
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How much for a top 3 finish? I'm fairly sure it will happen.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 27 Dec 2018, 11:23 
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5/1 now on SkyBet.

Those who took to 14/1 could be laughing come May! Those who took Mal’s 325/1 offer getting excited!

Relegation odds available ranging from 7/1 to 9/1.

So the betting market thinks we are more likely to finish top half than go down, which I think is about right.


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 Post subject: Re: SkyBet 14/1 to finish top half.
 Post Posted: 27 Dec 2018, 12:32 
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The target from here on in should be to finish above last seasons 17th place finish and mould the core of the team that can challenge for play offs next season. That said, we are still right in a relegation scrap and a few bad results could see us sucked into the bottom two so we need to keep on eye over our shoulder too.


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