I usually start my countdown to safety / playoffs / promotion after Christmas, but the desperation of the current run (the worst or second worst run of results in my 20 years of season ticket buying?) means I am starting now.
12 wins and 30 games to get them.
This will take us to 47 points which with the odd draw as well will guarantee safety.
Annual RCS countdown: 12 wins needed
Moderators: Admin, Ralph, asl, Robin
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1 win down. 11 to go. 29 games to get them.
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Plus there is always one or two clubs who drop like a stone with an awful run in the new year.Robin wrote:Great win today but it's going to be tight. I can't see Macclesfield surviving so realistically one from ourselves, Notts, Cambridge, Morecambe or Grimsby.
Yeovil and Vale could easily be dragged into it if they have a bad run.
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We are in 14 points now. Seven League games between now and January.Robin wrote:Agree RCS, feel we need to be hitting the January window with at least 20 points, then if recruitment is good we should be fine.
Four of those at home. It would be very disappointing not to beat Newport and Grimsby at home, and we should be expecting to beat FGR too.
23 points is my minimum expectation.
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I am looking up.Ben3 wrote:RCS, I would look up rather than down
Today the teams above us (morecambe and Grimsby) won. Good I say, concertina the league, keep the top half in touch
It’s a marathon not a sprint
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I would definitely add Swindon to the mix, they look to be in a lot of trouble.RegencyCheltenhamSpa wrote:Plus there is always one or two clubs who drop like a stone with an awful run in the new year.Robin wrote:Great win today but it's going to be tight. I can't see Macclesfield surviving so realistically one from ourselves, Notts, Cambridge, Morecambe or Grimsby.
Yeovil and Vale could easily be dragged into it if they have a bad run.
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Well they will have the best training ground (for football and race horses) in the Conference: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-w ... e-46142336" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;Lord Elpuz wrote:I would definitely add Swindon to the mix, they look to be in a lot of trouble.RegencyCheltenhamSpa wrote:Plus there is always one or two clubs who drop like a stone with an awful run in the new year.Robin wrote:Great win today but it's going to be tight. I can't see Macclesfield surviving so realistically one from ourselves, Notts, Cambridge, Morecambe or Grimsby.
Yeovil and Vale could easily be dragged into it if they have a bad run.
Let's not forget Newport are third. Whereas we go out to win every game, Grimsby and FGR should be the ones the fans are looking at as realistic wins, given our winless home League streak is now at over 7 months. Swindon and Port Vale away also seem winnable.
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2 down.
10 more needed.
28 games to get them.
10 more needed.
28 games to get them.
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3 wins down.
9 more needed.
26 more games remain.
That’s 20 points, so Robin’s pessimistic target reached.
My minimum expectation of 23 points before January still achievable with four games still left in December.
Away against Tom Pope next week won’t be easy but if we can get a win there we half the six point gap he has over us.
9 more needed.
26 more games remain.
That’s 20 points, so Robin’s pessimistic target reached.
My minimum expectation of 23 points before January still achievable with four games still left in December.
Away against Tom Pope next week won’t be easy but if we can get a win there we half the six point gap he has over us.
I'm assuming Tyrone Barnett isn't allowed to play against Vale?
I'd take a point at Vale. I'm not sure of the stats but it feels like our record there is woeful.
Then Swindon away, I'd hope we can push for a win.
MK Dons at home on Boxing Day, not expecting anything but Boxing Day throws up some funny scores.
FGR to end the year...bound to be a draw.
Yeovil on NYD, probably lose as we always seem to when we play them around xmas and New Year away but it should be 3 points.
10 points between now and 2nd January. I'd take that! That's another 10 points in 5 games, matching the last 5 games.
3 games until the mid-point of the season. Another 4 points would see us on 24 points. Double that and we'll finish on 48, but we should be looking at A LOT more points in the second half as we play a lot of the "lesser" teams at home. Thinking out loud.
I'd take a point at Vale. I'm not sure of the stats but it feels like our record there is woeful.
Then Swindon away, I'd hope we can push for a win.
MK Dons at home on Boxing Day, not expecting anything but Boxing Day throws up some funny scores.
FGR to end the year...bound to be a draw.
Yeovil on NYD, probably lose as we always seem to when we play them around xmas and New Year away but it should be 3 points.
10 points between now and 2nd January. I'd take that! That's another 10 points in 5 games, matching the last 5 games.
3 games until the mid-point of the season. Another 4 points would see us on 24 points. Double that and we'll finish on 48, but we should be looking at A LOT more points in the second half as we play a lot of the "lesser" teams at home. Thinking out loud.
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Swindon on a good run currently. Just four points off play offs and eight points off top three.
Good question re: Barnett.
Six points from the four games would be sufficient for me. Couple of away draws, can accept being held at home by title chasing MK, then beat FGR.
Though obviously winning one of the first three games reduces the pressure going into FGR match. We can’t really afford three games without a win, let alone four.
Good question re: Barnett.
Six points from the four games would be sufficient for me. Couple of away draws, can accept being held at home by title chasing MK, then beat FGR.
Though obviously winning one of the first three games reduces the pressure going into FGR match. We can’t really afford three games without a win, let alone four.
It is a tough run though, as you say. We're always told win your home games, anything away is a bonus. I can see us getting 0 points in the next 3 games in all honesty but it wouldn't overly concern me as we'll face much easier games. I'd be looking to bounce back with 6 points from FGR and Yeovil though, for sure.
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It’s been a while now but pleasing to update after the great attacking performance today.RegencyCheltenhamSpa wrote:3 wins down.
9 more needed.
26 more games remain.
That’s 20 points, so Robin’s pessimistic target reached.
My minimum expectation of 23 points before January still achievable with four games still left in December.
Away against Tom Pope next week won’t be easy but if we can get a win there we half the six point gap he has over us.
Four wins down.
Eight wins needed.
23 games left.
25 points now on the board. Ahead of many expectations.
Big release of pressure today. FGR almost like a free-hit. We can go all out and not fear a defeat.
Shame for us that Macclesfield have started winning otherwise it would feel like we're almost home and dry after that performance. But still, after that performance I'm very sure that there are many worse teams in the division than us and we'll comfortably head towards mid-table.
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Realised I didn’t update after the slaughter of the hapless Way’s Yeovil.
So taking into account that, and today:
Six down, and six to go. Half way there.
17 games remain.
So taking into account that, and today:
Six down, and six to go. Half way there.
17 games remain.
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Seven down, five to go. On the home street.Shade wrote:Fingers crossed 4 of those will be out of the way after Port Vale...
16 games left. Easier than one in three.
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8 of the 12 wins secured.
4 wins required.
13 games left.
4 wins required.
13 games left.
It feels like Notts and Macc showed that they were going to push on and one or the other was going to be the club to pull off the annual miracle but maybe it was a false dawn. No doubt they're both doing better but not enough. I still fancy Yeovil and Vale for the drop though. Even more so after seeing Vale's toothless display on Saturday.
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I was so surprised how lifeless Vale were up front. Prior to the game if someone said we'd signed Tom Pope I would've been excited, now as I'm a fickle football fan I would be reluctant to go for him if Vale go down.Shade wrote:It feels like Notts and Macc showed that they were going to push on and one or the other was going to be the club to pull off the annual miracle but maybe it was a false dawn. No doubt they're both doing better but not enough. I still fancy Yeovil and Vale for the drop though. Even more so after seeing Vale's toothless display on Saturday.
8 goals in 30 games though which is okay.
Can't decide if he had an off day, our defenders had him sussed out, or at 33 he's not the player he once was.
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Having overlooked Akinde and Dennis when their clubs went down last season I hope this time we do enquire about Pope if Vale go, or even Dennis if County go (though I guess he will be Cod bound).Cheltenhamshire10 wrote:I was so surprised how lifeless Vale were up front. Prior to the game if someone said we'd signed Tom Pope I would've been excited, now as I'm a fickle football fan I would be reluctant to go for him if Vale go down.Shade wrote:It feels like Notts and Macc showed that they were going to push on and one or the other was going to be the club to pull off the annual miracle but maybe it was a false dawn. No doubt they're both doing better but not enough. I still fancy Yeovil and Vale for the drop though. Even more so after seeing Vale's toothless display on Saturday.
8 goals in 30 games though which is okay.
Can't decide if he had an off day, our defenders had him sussed out, or at 33 he's not the player he once was.
Also, surprised no-one pointed out Courtney Duffus scored Yeovil’s winner on the weekend after signing a two and half year deal on deadline day. If the hapless Way takes them down, would you like to see us make a bid to bring Duffus home?