That makes a change. It's usually those sides we slip up against whilst getting some decent results against teams we wouldn't expect to.vickeryc wrote:To date, we have yet to lose any of the 7 games played against the six teams below us, winning 4 and drawing 3.
Next 7 Games
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Surely we are effectively safe from here on in unless we hit a terrible run of form? Realistically three wins and a couple of draws all that is needed over the next sixteen games.
Better now to concentrate on finishing higher than last season disappointing 17th place so we can start next season with optimism.
Better now to concentrate on finishing higher than last season disappointing 17th place so we can start next season with optimism.
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When the five remaining wins are secured a new target will be declared.Robin wrote:Surely we are effectively safe from here on in unless we hit a terrible run of form? Realistically three wins and a couple of draws all that is needed over the next sixteen games.
Better now to concentrate on finishing higher than last season disappointing 17th place so we can start next season with optimism.
- Lord Elpuz
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Looking like my predicted points haul which I made on 16 January is pretty accurate (even if the actual scores were incorrect) apart from my expected draw at Carlisle, when in fact we lost. If we do beat Port Vale this coming Saturday, we will have a points tally of 41 - pretty close to the 42 points I expected us to get by this coming Saturday, and we will be within touching distance of safety, leaving us with 6 home games to gain about 6 points for safety ... so any away game points will be a bonus. “Fortress Johnny Rocks” has come good for us.Lord Elpuz wrote:We will be fine...
A) Carlisle - 6th - Draw 1-1 (1 point)
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd - WIN 2-0 (3 points)
(H) Cambridge - 20th - WIN 3-1 (3 points)
(H) Yeovil -22nd - WIN (4-2) (3 points)
(A) Colchester - 4th - LOSS 2-1 (0 points)
(A) Grimsby - 15th - LOSS 2-1 (0 points)
(H) Port Vale - 19th - WIN 3-2 (Barnett hat-trick - 3 points)
Points total = 13
Total after Port Vale game = 42
which by my reckoning will leave us with 6 home games to gain about 5 points for safety.
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Have to say I'm pretty pleased with my predictions so far too.Johnsons Red Army wrote:(A) Carlisle - 6th - LOSS
(H) Macclesfield - 23rd - WIN
(H) Cambridge - 20th - WIN
(H) Yeovil -22nd - WIN
(A) Colchester - 4th - LOSS
(A) Grimsby - 15th - DRAW
(H) Port Vale - 19th - WIN
Who said this league was unpredictable ?
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Delighted to be proved oh so wrong!THECHOIRBOY wrote:I will stick to my view. I think it's unlikely we will win all four at home. I hope we will. I don't expect it.RegencyCheltenhamSpa wrote:What’s winning four in a row got to do with it. Look at the individual home games: whether they are four a row or two months between each, are you saying you are happy to not beat a bottom five side at home?THECHOIRBOY wrote:The usual rationality I'd expect to see from the Nest.
It's rare we win four on the spin at home so not sure we have to do that! Equally the sides around us are also playing each other so we could arguably play about four or five more games and not pick up a point and still not be bottom
Note. I am not saying I want or expect this. But I am saying that as long as we pick them up I don't care where we get them from. I'd say 11-12 is realistic. Expecting to win all four at home is often what causes tension and frustration at home (and why we have been known to perform better against higher teams)
I criticised Gary for the home failures vs Barnet and FGR last season (amongst others) and I will equally disappointed not to win similar fixtures this season.
Unbelievable that you question the rationality of expecting to win home games against poor teams who are in the bottom four or five.
Why do i not expect it? Because history and data shows us winning four league games in a row at home is something we do not do often. We know you love data RCS! In fact the last time we did it was the last 5 games of the promotion winning season in Conference in 15/16 when we won 5 on the spin. The last time we did it in League 2 from my quick research appears to be March 2013.
Nearly 6 years ago. So based on that evidence my expectation would not be for us to win all 4 no; whoever it may be against!! So yes, I guess i am questioning rationality if we look at the information that could make a logical decision.
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6 out of 7. Can't complain about that.
Now if only I had bet on them....
Now if only I had bet on them....
- Lord Elpuz
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Ditto - very happy to have been proven right and delighted with and for Mr Duff and his Team of battlers. Cannot see any threat of relegation now - apart from the mathematical risk, and fully expect CTFC to achieve a most respectable end to the season.Johnsons Red Army wrote:6 out of 7. Can't complain about that.
Now if only I had bet on them....
Looking at the remaining twelve games there are four clear home games we should be looking to win Swindon, Oldham (who both won't have anything to play for at that point) and Notts/Cobblers. Nine points from those and a couple of wins elsewhere should see us at least equal 17th.
Next weeks games look interesting both Cambridge and Macclesfield have very tough away trips and it's Notts County V Port Vale and Yeovil V Morecambe in two massive relegation six pointers.
Next weeks games look interesting both Cambridge and Macclesfield have very tough away trips and it's Notts County V Port Vale and Yeovil V Morecambe in two massive relegation six pointers.
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https://www.oddschecker.com/football/en ... relegation" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
33/1 now top price for us to go down. In other words, no chance.
33/1 now top price for us to go down. In other words, no chance.