The Points Per Game Equation

[RegencyCheltenhamSpa]

To reach 50 points we need 49 points from 35 games.

This means an average of 1.4 points per game. We are close to needing to win every other game for the rest of the season.

That is the equivalent of 64 points in a 46 game season.

Last season we got 54 points and the season before 56 points.

So we have to out perform the last two seasons from here on in.

I remember posters on here called both our last two title winning promotions in October/ November; could be doing that for relegation now unless we pick up a couple of wins this month.

[Benhall-Robin]

It isn't going to happen unfortunately, I am sure we will see improvements but this group is not good enough. Reinforcements will arrive, but the deficit is too much.

I am glad Darrell Clarke is in now and has some time to address this, otherwise we are in serious threat of back to back relegations.

[andgarod]

At what cost
Perhaps Milton was /is a good coach

Wades mates out to be replaced by Clarkes mates

but the board will carry on regardless

[RegencyCheltenhamSpa]

Time to assess this again.

To reach 50 points we need 42 points, from 31 games.

That means we need 1.35 points per game (ppg). That form is equivalent to 62 points over a season.

[PittvillePundit]

I made the point in another thread that WINS are what is needed.

L W (e.g. Blackpool/Vale) is better than an (unbeaten) DD sequence.

DC seems to be on this wavelength.

That's not to say that at 1 1 away with 5 to go it's not worth settling for a point but the mindset at the outset should be to win every game.

I remain hopeful and positive. Plenty of games to go.

[RegencyCheltenhamSpa]

Amidst the frustration and (over?) reaction from yesterday it’s worth pointing out that in the four league games DC has been able to influence (not counting Fleetwood) we have 1.75 points per game.

We need 1.35 points per game from here on to get to 50 points.

Even if we count the Fleetwood game, DC has 1.4 points per game.

So in the league he does already have us on track for reaching safety. The next two home league games are a chance to react to yesterday’s awful aberration and will indicate if we can keep on track for safety - which if achieved will make the cup game irrelevant.

[RegencyCheltenhamSpa]

As good as the performance was, a draw is obviously below the run rate required so the task gets a little bit harder.

So 41 points needed from 30 games. Which is 1.37 points per game. For context, that is form equivalent to a 63 point season - harder than earlier in this thread.

[Robin]

I suspect it's the games next month which will decide our fate, we simply have to be getting something against Carlisle and Northampton, ideally win both.

[Shade]

Reading, Carlisle, Exeter, we can only hope will continue their terrible current form. I don't think Exeter have won since the beat us and were top, or thereabouts?

Obviously not expecting us to get anything v Oxford or away at Charlton, where a certain someone is bound to score at least two, but, as Robin says, the six games between 9th December and 1st January will be crucial. If we can get 12 from that 18 we will be in with a shout, and then hopefully able to strengthen.

[RegencyCheltenhamSpa]

As good as the performance was, a draw is obviously below the run rate required so the task gets a little bit harder.

So 41 points needed from 30 games. Which is 1.37 points per game. For context, that is form equivalent to a 63 point season - harder than earlier in this thread.

5 games further on, and the requirement hasn’t got much easier.

1.36 points per game needed to get to 50 points (34 points from 25 games).

We have been ticking along at 1.4 since the last update, with 7 points from 5 games.

[Jerry St Clair]

5 games further on, and the requirement hasn’t got much easier.

Balls! Clarke and Muzza’s red army are going up!

“We’ll win the league, at Broadhall Way, we’ll win the league at Broadhall way…..”

[Red Duke]

As good as the performance was, a draw is obviously below the run rate required so the task gets a little bit harder.

So 41 points needed from 30 games. Which is 1.37 points per game. For context, that is form equivalent to a 63 point season - harder than earlier in this thread.

5 games further on, and the requirement hasn’t got much easier.

1.36 points per game needed to get to 50 points (34 points from 25 games).

We have been ticking along at 1.4 since the last update, with 7 points from 5 games.

As long as we are keeping up, then that is OK.

[Shade]

From where and how we were, the fact we have a realistic chance of being out of the bottom four on NYD, let alone just being there or thereabouts on points with the other relegation threatened teams with half a season and a transfer window to go, is a miracle. Obviously January is going to have a big say in it, but right now I feel like we are going to end up fairly comfortable, considering, and be safe with a few games to go.

[RegencyCheltenhamSpa]

As good as the performance was, a draw is obviously below the run rate required so the task gets a little bit harder.

So 41 points needed from 30 games. Which is 1.37 points per game. For context, that is form equivalent to a 63 point season - harder than earlier in this thread.

5 games further on, and the requirement hasn’t got much easier.

1.36 points per game needed to get to 50 points (34 points from 25 games).

We have been ticking along at 1.4 since the last update, with 7 points from 5 games.

No change in the PPG required.

We need 1.36 ppg, which is 30 points from 22 games.

The rolling 5 game average is still 1.4 ppg, with 7 points from the last 5 games.

[Ihearye]

Ideally after a good spell, one would like to see the numbers drop. This is difficult but still doable