The Points Per Game Equation

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Joined: 21 Nov 2009, 03:27
To reach 50 points we need 49 points from 35 games.

This means an average of 1.4 points per game. We are close to needing to win every other game for the rest of the season.

That is the equivalent of 64 points in a 46 game season.

Last season we got 54 points and the season before 56 points.

So we have to out perform the last two seasons from here on in.

I remember posters on here called both our last two title winning promotions in October/ November; could be doing that for relegation now unless we pick up a couple of wins this month.
Posts: 27
Joined: 03 Nov 2022, 15:44
It isn't going to happen unfortunately, I am sure we will see improvements but this group is not good enough. Reinforcements will arrive, but the deficit is too much.

I am glad Darrell Clarke is in now and has some time to address this, otherwise we are in serious threat of back to back relegations.
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Joined: 19 May 2015, 18:31
At what cost
Perhaps Milton was /is a good coach

Wades mates out to be replaced by Clarkes mates

but the board will carry on regardless
Posts: 29396
Joined: 21 Nov 2009, 03:27
Time to assess this again.

To reach 50 points we need 42 points, from 31 games.

That means we need 1.35 points per game (ppg). That form is equivalent to 62 points over a season.
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Joined: 05 Feb 2021, 20:54
Location: Er, Pittville
I made the point in another thread that WINS are what is needed.

L W (e.g. Blackpool/Vale) is better than an (unbeaten) DD sequence.

DC seems to be on this wavelength.

That's not to say that at 1 1 away with 5 to go it's not worth settling for a point but the mindset at the outset should be to win every game.

I remain hopeful and positive. Plenty of games to go.
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Joined: 21 Nov 2009, 03:27
Amidst the frustration and (over?) reaction from yesterday it’s worth pointing out that in the four league games DC has been able to influence (not counting Fleetwood) we have 1.75 points per game.

We need 1.35 points per game from here on to get to 50 points.

Even if we count the Fleetwood game, DC has 1.4 points per game.

So in the league he does already have us on track for reaching safety. The next two home league games are a chance to react to yesterday’s awful aberration and will indicate if we can keep on track for safety - which if achieved will make the cup game irrelevant.
Posts: 29396
Joined: 21 Nov 2009, 03:27
As good as the performance was, a draw is obviously below the run rate required so the task gets a little bit harder.

So 41 points needed from 30 games. Which is 1.37 points per game. For context, that is form equivalent to a 63 point season - harder than earlier in this thread.
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Joined: 20 Nov 2009, 11:19
I suspect it's the games next month which will decide our fate, we simply have to be getting something against Carlisle and Northampton, ideally win both.
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Joined: 27 Sep 2010, 13:02
Location: Cheltenhamshire
Reading, Carlisle, Exeter, we can only hope will continue their terrible current form. I don't think Exeter have won since the beat us and were top, or thereabouts?

Obviously not expecting us to get anything v Oxford or away at Charlton, where a certain someone is bound to score at least two, but, as Robin says, the six games between 9th December and 1st January will be crucial. If we can get 12 from that 18 we will be in with a shout, and then hopefully able to strengthen.
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